<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" version="2.0" xmlns:itunes="http://www.itunes.com/dtds/podcast-1.0.dtd" xmlns:googleplay="http://www.google.com/schemas/play-podcasts/1.0"><channel><title><![CDATA[Aussie/Kiwi M&A/Events]]></title><description><![CDATA[A read across of firm, indicative, and rumoured proposals/events Down Under]]></description><link>https://oz.quiddityresearch.co</link><image><url>https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NqGK!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fad95d59b-b605-48d9-b99d-a266952e3fb2_201x184.png</url><title>Aussie/Kiwi M&amp;A/Events</title><link>https://oz.quiddityresearch.co</link></image><generator>Substack</generator><lastBuildDate>Tue, 04 Aug 2026 07:49:27 GMT</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/feed" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"/><copyright><![CDATA[Quiddity Investment Advisors]]></copyright><language><![CDATA[en]]></language><webMaster><![CDATA[quiddityadvisors@substack.com]]></webMaster><itunes:owner><itunes:email><![CDATA[quiddityadvisors@substack.com]]></itunes:email><itunes:name><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></itunes:name></itunes:owner><itunes:author><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></itunes:author><googleplay:owner><![CDATA[quiddityadvisors@substack.com]]></googleplay:owner><googleplay:email><![CDATA[quiddityadvisors@substack.com]]></googleplay:email><googleplay:author><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></googleplay:author><itunes:block><![CDATA[Yes]]></itunes:block><item><title><![CDATA[FleetPartners (FPR AU): SG Fleet's A$3.60/Share NBIO]]></title><description><![CDATA[Back in 2025, Sydney PE outfit Pacific Equity Partners privatised SG Fleet (SGF AU), an Aussie provider of fleet leasing services: see SG Fleet (SGF AU): 8th April Scheme Vote.]]></description><link>https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/fleetpartners-fpr-au-sg-fleets-a360share</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/fleetpartners-fpr-au-sg-fleets-a360share</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2026 00:38:52 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/ee9d1472-ed11-4b6b-afa5-b35fd977e6fa_225x225.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul><li><p>Back in 2025, Sydney PE outfit Pacific Equity Partners privatised <strong>SG Fleet (SGF AU)</strong>, an Aussie provider of fleet leasing services: see <em><strong><a href="https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/sg-fleet-sgf-au-8th-april-scheme?r=i4l3s">SG Fleet (SGF AU): 8th April Scheme Vote</a></strong></em>.</p></li><li><p>Now SG Fleet has tabled a A$3.60/share NBIO for one of its key competitors, <strong>FleetPartners Group (FPR AU)</strong>.</p></li><li><p>That&#8217;s a 27.2% premium to last close, and ~16% above where <strong>Mitsubishi Motors (7211 JP)</strong> has built its stake. Expect the ACCC to take a good look at firm terms.</p></li></ul><p><strong>The Trade</strong>:</p><ul><li><p>I doubt MMC would kick out at this NBIO price.</p></li><li><p><strong>Smartgroup Corp (SIQ AU)</strong> and <strong>Mcmillan Shakespeare (MMS AU)</strong><em> may</em> throw their hats into the ring.</p></li><li><p>I think (any) firm terms need to be bumped.</p></li><li><p>Look to enter ~A$3.20-$3.30/share.</p></li></ul>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Energy One (EOL AU): Volue (Reportedly) Makes An Offer]]></title><description><![CDATA[Back on the 28th August 2023, software provider Energy One Ltd (EOL AU) fielded an indicative Offer from STG at A$5.85/share; reduced to A$5.15/share after DD.]]></description><link>https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/energy-one-eol-au-volue-reportedly</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/energy-one-eol-au-volue-reportedly</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 30 Jul 2026 01:08:00 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/7125a76c-3a0f-4b6a-802a-43898dda8e36_499x300.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul><li><p>Back on the 28th August 2023, software provider <strong>Energy One Ltd (EOL AU)</strong> fielded an indicative Offer from STG at A$5.85/share; reduced to A$5.15/share after DD. EOL said no.</p></li><li><p>That rejection was prescient as the share price nudged A$20/share two years later; but has since halved, and trades around A$10.85/share as I type.</p></li><li><p><strong>Shares are in a trading halt</strong>. The AFR is reporting Norwegian-based Volue has pitched an indicative A$17/share Offer by way of a Scheme. That&#8217;s a 57% premium to undisturbed.</p></li></ul><p><em><strong>Energy One is illiquid - look away now if that is not your bag.</strong></em></p><div><hr></div><h3><strong>Conclusions First</strong></h3><ul><li><p>Shares are suspended so there is nothing to do right now.</p></li><li><p>STG had a good hard look three years, and that deal came to nought.</p></li><li><p>If an NBIO is tabled, and illiquid arbs are your bag, don&#8217;t aggressively chase it.</p></li></ul>
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          <a href="https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/energy-one-eol-au-volue-reportedly">
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Revolut's Turn To Take On Aussie Big Four]]></title><description><![CDATA[In my weekly insight on short positions in Australia, it was noteworthy seeing Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA AU) knock Rio Tinto (RIO AU) off the top spot.]]></description><link>https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/revoluts-turn-to-take-on-aussie-big</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/revoluts-turn-to-take-on-aussie-big</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 28 Jul 2026 03:53:58 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/4cb65bbc-e6a5-4861-ae9c-df0960bc19ba_269x148.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul><li><p>In my weekly insight on short positions in Australia, it was noteworthy seeing <strong>Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA AU)</strong> knock <strong>Rio Tinto (RIO AU)</strong> off the top spot.</p></li><li><p><strong>Westpac (WBC AU) </strong>was No. 4 (in A$mn short), up from No. 11 a year ago. <strong>National Australia Bank (NAB AU)</strong> was at No. 9, and <strong>ANZ (ANZ AU)</strong> No. 14.</p></li><li><p>There are a multitude of factors for increased banking short positions. Revolut gaining a full banking licence Down Under is unlikely one of them. But it&#8217;s still worth digging into.</p></li></ul>
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          <a href="https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/revoluts-turn-to-take-on-aussie-big">
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Australian Strategic Materials (ASM AU): Rescheduled Vote On 12th August For Energy Fuel's Scheme]]></title><description><![CDATA[On the 18th May 2026, Australian Strategic Materials (ASM AU)&#8216;s Scheme Booklet was dispatched, with a Scheme Meeting on the 22nd June, and expected implementation on the 7th July.]]></description><link>https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/australian-strategic-materials-asm-bb3</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/australian-strategic-materials-asm-bb3</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 28 Jul 2026 00:48:45 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/134c556a-b04a-42a1-bc00-607729c57d87_200x200.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul><li><p>On the 18th May 2026, <strong>Australian Strategic Materials (ASM AU)</strong>&#8216;s Scheme Booklet was dispatched, with a Scheme Meeting on the 22nd June, and expected implementation on the 7th July.</p></li><li><p>The vote was delayed after <strong>Energy Fuels (UUUU US)</strong> secured DoW financing; then a revised IE assessment was required after Energy Fuels announced a US$1.9bn mine-to-magnet rare-earth platform in Germany.</p></li><li><p><strong><a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20260728/pdf/0723j4ytkp6sb4.pdf">The replacement Scheme Booklet is now out</a></strong>, with a Scheme Meeting on the12th August, and expected implementation on the 28th August. The IE (BDO) <strong>still</strong> says &#8220;<em>fair &amp; reasonable</em>&#8220;.</p></li></ul><p><em><strong>ASM is not super liquid. Look away now if this is not your thing</strong></em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>The Trade</strong>:</p><ul><li><p>This is done.</p></li><li><p>If illiquid arbs are your bag, and not already in, depending on borrow cost, look to short Energy Fuels late in its trading day; long ASM, early in its trading day.</p></li></ul>
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          <a href="https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/australian-strategic-materials-asm-bb3">
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Forrestania Resources (FRS AU)'s Untidy Offer For Zenith Minerals (ZNC AU)]]></title><description><![CDATA[Forrestania Resources Ltd (FRS AU) all-scrip Offer for Zenith Minerals (ZNC AU) is a small M&A deal.]]></description><link>https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/forrestania-resources-frs-aus-untidy</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/forrestania-resources-frs-aus-untidy</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 27 Jul 2026 03:42:15 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/e0f4432a-f227-492b-b4d6-79503cdfb728_447x447.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul><li><p><strong>Forrestania Resources Ltd (FRS AU)</strong> all-scrip Offer for <strong>Zenith Minerals (ZNC AU)</strong> is a small M&amp;A deal. Look away now if this is not your bag.</p></li><li><p>There are some intriguing aspects surrounding this transaction - <em>after</em> the Offer was made - which are worthwhile discussing.</p></li><li><p>I believe there is a case for FRS misleading shareholders. Right now, the bid proceeds, and the Takeovers Panel is signalling caution as it considers Harvest Lane&#8217;s application.</p></li></ul><p><strong>The Trade:</strong></p><ul><li><p>If small illiquid, scrip arbs are your thing, get exposure to Zenith Minerals (ZNC AU) around here.</p></li><li><p>At this stage, the Panel makes no comment on the merits of Harvest&#8217;s application; and therefore has not (yet) concluded that unacceptable circumstances exist. Or indeed, will.</p></li><li><p>A key risk is timing: even if Forrestania clears 50% acceptances, the bid mechanics remain unclear until the Panel decides whether any acceptances need to be voided, or other remedial orders made.</p></li></ul>
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          <a href="https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/forrestania-resources-frs-aus-untidy">
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Perpetual (PPT AUJ): EQT Lifts Its NBIO To A$22.50/Share]]></title><description><![CDATA[Following its curious A$22.07/share self-destructing NBIO on the 15th July, EQT has returned with a A$22.50/share NBIO for Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU), by way of a Scheme.]]></description><link>https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/perpetual-ppt-auj-eqt-lifts-its-nbio</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/perpetual-ppt-auj-eqt-lifts-its-nbio</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 27 Jul 2026 00:36:37 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/7732a8e1-663e-499d-b060-cb6c20e23358_225x225.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul><li><p>Following its curious A$22.07/share self-destructing NBIO on the 15th July, EQT has returned with a A$22.50/share NBIO for <strong>Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU)</strong>, by way of a Scheme.</p></li><li><p>That&#8217;s a 4% bump to its initial NBIO of A$21.64/share on the 1st July, which was rejected as being inadequate. $22.07/share was similarly deemed inadequate.</p></li><li><p>PPT&#8217;s board is assessing the revised tilt. Optically, terms <em>appear</em> fair. Ot at least sufficient to engage.<strong> A$22.50/share is a 45.2% premium to undisturbed</strong>.</p></li></ul><p><strong>The Trade</strong>:</p><ul><li><p>Perpetual is not expensive.</p></li><li><p>I&#8217;d be buying here.</p></li><li><p>Perpetual has not outright rejected the latest salvo.</p></li><li><p>A 45.2% premium to undisturbed <em><strong>is </strong></em>a reasonable change of control premium.</p></li><li><p>But I can see EQT adding more gruel,</p></li></ul><p><em><strong>FY26 results are due out on the 27th August.</strong></em></p>
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          <a href="https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/perpetual-ppt-auj-eqt-lifts-its-nbio">
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[OFX Group (OFX AU) Backs Equals Group’s A$1/​Share Indicative Offer]]></title><description><![CDATA[In February this year, OFX (OFX AU) announced a strategic review amid its 3Q26 trading update, to &#8220;explore a range of organic and inorganic opportunities&#8221; following &#8220;an increasing level of inbound interest&#8221;.]]></description><link>https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/ofx-group-ofx-au-backs-equals-groups</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/ofx-group-ofx-au-backs-equals-groups</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 23 Jul 2026 00:39:50 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/41a065f4-89ab-448b-a163-c6e27758166b_275x183.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul><li><p>In February this year, <strong>OFX (OFX AU)</strong> announced a strategic review amid its 3Q26 trading update, to &#8220;<em>explore a range of organic and inorganic opportunities</em>&#8221; following &#8220;<em>an increasing level of inbound interest</em>&#8221;.</p></li><li><p>This morning the international money transfer play announced it has entered into a transaction process deed with Equals Group, potentially leading to a A$1.00/share offer by way of a Scheme.</p></li><li><p>Equals Group has been granted four weeks of due diligence. OFX&#8217;s board is unanimously supportive of terms, if firmed, which represent a 108% premium to undisturbed.</p></li></ul>
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          <a href="https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/ofx-group-ofx-au-backs-equals-groups">
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Twiggy Gets Some EQ Resources Exposure]]></title><description><![CDATA[Andrew Forrest has acquired a 16.8% stake in critical minerals miner EQ Resources (EQR AU) from Oaktree.]]></description><link>https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/twiggy-gets-some-eq-resources-exposure</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/twiggy-gets-some-eq-resources-exposure</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 20 Jul 2026 23:37:19 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/ca707eef-922b-40c5-ad3d-534bdd1f28e5_447x447.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul><li><p>Andrew Forrest has acquired a 16.8% stake in critical minerals miner <strong>EQ Resources (EQR AU)</strong> from Oaktree. Shares promptly popped ~34% on the news yesterday.</p></li><li><p>Oaktree has been a substantial shareholder since the 18th January 2024, paying A$25mn for a 15% stake; and appears to be exiting for A$190mn. Nice.</p></li><li><p>EQR is primarily a tungsten miner in Australia and Spain, accounting for the majority of each country&#8217;s global supply output of 1.2% and 0.9% respectively. China commands 85%.</p></li></ul><p><strong>The Trad</strong>e:</p><ul><li><p>EQR is a rare Aussie-listed tungsten play.</p></li><li><p>But it is also up 676% in the past twelve months.</p></li><li><p>I don&#8217;t have a strong conviction here. Evidently Twiggy does.</p></li><li><p>In this rare-earth/critical minerals space, I like <strong>Arafura Rare Earths (ARU AU)</strong> and <strong>Lynas Corp Ltd (LYC AU)</strong>.</p></li></ul>
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          <a href="https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/twiggy-gets-some-eq-resources-exposure">
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Perpetual (PPT AUJ): Did EQT Just Make A Revised Offer?]]></title><description><![CDATA[Last night, Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU) announced it had received a revised NBIO from EQT at A$22.07/share, 2% higher than the prior bid that was rejected on the 1st July.]]></description><link>https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/perpetual-ppt-auj-did-eqt-just-make</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/perpetual-ppt-auj-did-eqt-just-make</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 16 Jul 2026 02:40:09 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/92eb7b6d-cc00-4584-a16b-e661817687b7_225x225.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul><li><p>Last night, <strong>Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU)</strong> announced it had received a revised NBIO from EQT at A$22.07/share, 2% higher than the prior bid that was rejected on the 1st July.</p></li><li><p>However, Perpetual notes EQT stated in its revised bid, that &#8220;<em><strong>the Revised Indicative Proposal itself will be regarded as being automatically withdrawn if it is disclosed</strong></em>&#8220;.</p></li><li><p>So, how does that work? Is there, or is there not a revised bid at A$22/share since this terms are publicly disclosed? Perpetual <em><strong>does </strong></em>say it is considering the proposal.</p></li></ul><p><strong>The Trade:</strong></p><ul><li><p>Perpetual is not expensive.</p></li><li><p>I&#8217;d get some exposure here.</p></li><li><p>The fact Perpetual did not outright reject a 2% higher bid is illustrative.</p></li></ul>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Genesis And Vault Firm Terms After Regis Walks]]></title><description><![CDATA[After Genesis Minerals (GMD AU) pitched a &#8220;superior&#8221; cash/scrip Offer for Vault Minerals Ltd (VAU AU) on the 6th July, Regis Resources (RRL AU) was expected to walk.]]></description><link>https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/genesis-and-vault-firm-terms-after</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/genesis-and-vault-firm-terms-after</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 14 Jul 2026 02:38:59 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/9108e1f0-75fa-4fe5-b2d4-90a98af7c880_200x200.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul><li><p>After <strong>Genesis Minerals (GMD AU)</strong> pitched a &#8220;superior&#8221; cash/scrip Offer for <strong>Vault Minerals Ltd (VAU AU)</strong> on the <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20260706/pdf/071dhlbn534zn5.pdf">6th July</a>, <strong>Regis Resources (RRL AU) </strong>was expected to walk. <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20260713/pdf/071mxy5kf9g04s.pdf">And they did</a>.</p></li><li><p>This morning, Genesis/Vault <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20260714/pdf/071p7s2kxlqn95.pdf">firmed terms</a>: 0.7629 new shares for every Vault share, plus A$0.475/share in cash - for an implied value of A$5.274/share. Terms are unchanged from the 6th July.</p></li><li><p>The Offer is by way of a Scheme. Expect a Scheme Booklet by August/September, a meeting a month later, and expected implementation by October/November. Clean deal.</p></li></ul><p><strong>The Trade:</strong></p><ul><li><p>I see the spread at a ~2.2%.</p></li><li><p>If you can take down borrow cheaply in Genesis, do so, if not already.</p></li><li><p>Expect Travis Lundy to follow with an index implications note shortly.</p></li></ul>
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          <a href="https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/genesis-and-vault-firm-terms-after">
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[OOh!Media (OML AU): Three-Way Bidding Progresses]]></title><description><![CDATA[OOh!Media Ltd (OML AU), Australia&#8217;s No.1 player in outdoor advertising, has announced the three known suitors have reconfirmed their NBIOs, and confirmatory due diligence has been afforded.]]></description><link>https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/oohmedia-oml-au-three-way-bidding</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/oohmedia-oml-au-three-way-bidding</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 13 Jul 2026 01:06:56 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/7c9b9148-c526-4e56-b54a-40f64c0a4767_299x168.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul><li><p><strong>OOh!Media Ltd (OML AU)</strong>, Australia&#8217;s No.1 player in outdoor advertising, has announced the three known suitors have reconfirmed their NBIOs, and confirmatory due diligence has been afforded.</p></li><li><p>Pacific Equity Partners, I Squared Capital, and Oaktree remain in the mix, with indicative offers between A$1.60-A$1.65/share.</p></li><li><p>The final process is expected to take up to four weeks,</p></li></ul><p><strong>The Trade:</strong></p><ul><li><p>Terms remain indicative. Hefty downside if this breaks.</p></li><li><p>At A$1.51/share as I type, and assuming a five-month off ramp, this is trading at a gross/annualised spread of 9.3%/23.2%, at A$1.65/share.</p></li><li><p>That&#8217;s <em>reasonably</em> attractive.</p></li><li><p>More attractive if the view is this gets bid higher.</p></li><li><p>IF pegged to <strong>Nine Entertainment Co Holdings (NEC AU)</strong>&#8216;s Jan 2026 Offer for unlisted <strong>QMS Media (QMS AU), </strong>you <em>could</em> be looking upward of A$2/share.</p></li></ul>
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          <a href="https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/oohmedia-oml-au-three-way-bidding">
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Genesis Crashes Regis & Vault's Party With Superior Terms]]></title><description><![CDATA[Back on the 5th May, West Aussie gold miners Regis Resources (RRL AU) and Vault Minerals Ltd (VAU AU) announced a A$11bn scrip merger, by way of a Scheme.]]></description><link>https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/genesis-crashes-regis-and-vaults</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/genesis-crashes-regis-and-vaults</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 08 Jul 2026 10:24:55 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/260867c0-6c8a-42b7-8e9d-3e6422d07270_200x200.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul><li><p>Back on the 5th May, West Aussie gold miners <strong>Regis Resources (RRL AU)</strong> and <strong>Vault Minerals Ltd (VAU AU)</strong> announced a A$11bn scrip merger, by way of a Scheme.</p></li><li><p>What appeared to be another straightforward, albeit, large gold merger, has unravelled after <strong>Genesis Minerals (GMD AU)</strong> pitched a &#8220;superior&#8221; cash/scrip Offer yesterday morning.</p></li><li><p>Post merger, Genesis shareholders would own ~59.8% of the combined company, and Vault ~40.2%; versus 51%/49% under Regis&#8217; terms. Regis has until the 13th July to match Genesis&#8217; terms.</p></li></ul><p><strong>The Trade:</strong></p><ul><li><p>Perhaps Regis matches. But ultimately I see Regis taking the A$50mn break fee and walking.</p></li><li><p>Regis shares <em>were</em> down ~7.5% ahead of Genesis&#8217; Offer, reflecting market concerns they were overpaying. Genesis/Vault synergies are more apparent.</p></li><li><p>Vault is trading almost right at terms to Genesis&#8217; Offer.</p></li><li><p>If you can take down borrow cheaply in Genesis, do so, if not already.</p></li></ul>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Revisiting Perpetual (PPT AUJ) After EQT's Revived - And Rejected - Bid]]></title><description><![CDATA[Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU) has been in the cross hairs since KKR&#8217;s all-in 2010 tilt; while bids have landed for various units, all of which came to nought.]]></description><link>https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/revisiting-perpetual-ppt-auj-after</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/revisiting-perpetual-ppt-auj-after</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 08 Jul 2026 10:21:49 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/fae8369d-1e3c-4c94-9147-30bbb825fb9b_225x225.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul><li><p><strong>Perpetual Ltd (PPT AU)</strong> has been in the cross hairs since KKR&#8217;s all-in 2010 tilt; while bids have landed for various units, all of which came to nought.</p></li><li><p>In March of this year, Perpetual announced it was offloading its wealth management arm to Bain for A$550mn. Then last week, Perpetual rejected EQT&#8217;s A$21.64/share all cash NBIO.</p></li><li><p>Perpetual is trading ~12% adrift of those indicative terms - and down 9% in the past year. There are signs the Street is turning (<em>mildly</em>) positive.</p></li></ul><p><strong>The Trade:</strong></p><ul><li><p>Perpetual is not expensive here.</p></li><li><p>I <em>might</em> get some exposure here; but preferably on any material pullback as the EQT buzz subsides.</p></li></ul>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Tourism Holdings (THL NZ/AU): Unnamed Bidder Lobs A NZ$3.30-3.40 NBIO]]></title><description><![CDATA[On the 29th May 2026, Tourism Holdings (THL NZ/AU) announced an NZ$3.10/share NBIO from a consortium comprising BGH Capital and the founding Trouchet family.]]></description><link>https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/tourism-holdings-thl-nzau-unnamed</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/tourism-holdings-thl-nzau-unnamed</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 25 Jun 2026 00:36:42 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/5ea7c685-df39-488d-8305-c038eb9833bc_200x200.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul><li><p>On the 29th May 2026, <strong>Tourism Holdings (THL NZ/AU)</strong> announced an NZ$3.10/share NBIO from a consortium comprising BGH Capital and the founding Trouchet family. Due diligence was subsequently afforded.</p></li><li><p>The same consortium, holding 19.9% of shares out, offered NZ$2.30/share for the world&#8217;s largest commercial recreation vehicle rental operator in June 2025; however THL summarily rejected terms.</p></li><li><p>This morning THL announced an NBIO of <strong>NZ$3.30-NZ$3.40/share</strong> from a &#8220;<em>credible strategic buyer</em>&#8220;. Due diligence has been afforded. Discussions remain ongoing with the BGH/Trouchet consortium.</p></li></ul><p><em><strong>Tourism Holdings (THL NZ) is illiquid. Look away now if that is not your thing</strong></em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>The Trade</strong>:</p><ul><li><p>Two &#8220;credible&#8221; parties in the mix.</p></li><li><p>Trading 12% adrift of the low-end of the latest NBIO, after today&#8217;s 13.7% gain (as I type).</p></li><li><p>If small, illiquid - <strong>and non-binding arbs</strong> - are your bag, I&#8217;d be buying here. But not aggressively.</p></li><li><p>The BGH/Trouchet consortium have an effective veto on a competing Scheme. The mystery buyer <em>may</em> have to change up to a conditional Offer</p></li></ul>
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          <a href="https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/tourism-holdings-thl-nzau-unnamed">
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[ASM (ASM AU): More Scheme Delays As Energy Fuels Inks Large German Deal]]></title><description><![CDATA[Back on the 18th May 2026, Australian Strategic Materials (ASM AU)&#8216;s Scheme Booklet was dispatched, with a Scheme Meeting on the 22nd June, and expected implementation on the 7th July.]]></description><link>https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/asm-asm-au-more-scheme-delays-as</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/asm-asm-au-more-scheme-delays-as</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 24 Jun 2026 04:32:00 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/99f535be-7f7f-4d8d-b3dc-60f8c677c3a9_200x200.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul><li><p>Back on the 18th May 2026, <strong>Australian Strategic Materials (ASM AU)</strong>&#8216;s Scheme Booklet was dispatched, with a Scheme Meeting on the 22nd June, and expected implementation on the 7th July.</p></li><li><p>However, after <strong>Energy Fuels (UUUU US)</strong> received a conditional $725mn financing commitment from the DoW, the Meeting was postponed to a &#8220;<em>later date to be determined</em>&#8220; to prepare supplementary disclosure.</p></li><li><p>Now Energy Fuels has announced a US$1.9bn transaction to acquire a mine-to-magnet rare earth platform in Germany, (likely) necessitating an IE assessment revamp; but ultimately remaining fully supportive.</p></li></ul><p><em><strong>ASM is not super liquid. Look away now if this is not your thing</strong></em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>The Trade</strong>:</p><ul><li><p>The German transaction <em>should</em> boost the value of Energy Fuels shares</p></li><li><p>ASM is trading at a 3.1% gross spread to then scrip terms.</p></li><li><p>ASM is down 3.4% as I type; yet Energy Fuels was down ~3% yesterday on the German deal news.</p></li><li><p>If illiquid arbs are your bag, and not already in, depending on borrow cost, look to short Energy Fuels late in its trading day; long ASM, early in its trading day.</p></li></ul>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[ClearView Wealth (CVW AU): 27th July Vote On Zurich’s Scheme]]></title><description><![CDATA[On the 24th Feb 2026, life insurance play ClearView Wealth (CVW AU) announced a Scheme with Zurich Insurance (ZURN SW) at A$0.65/share in cash (a 21.5% premium to last close).]]></description><link>https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/clearview-wealth-cvw-au-27th-july</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/clearview-wealth-cvw-au-27th-july</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 23 Jun 2026 06:18:41 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/61f221c7-3293-4eea-8bef-ba1429cbcbdf_200x124.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul><li><p>On the 24th Feb 2026, life insurance play <strong>ClearView Wealth (CVW AU)</strong> announced a Scheme with <strong>Zurich Insurance (ZURN SW)</strong> at A$0.65/share in cash (a 21.5% premium to last close).</p></li><li><p>Crescent Capital Partners, holding (or having control of) ~53% of shares out, is supportive. ClearView&#8217;s board is unanimously supportive. The Offer requires ACCC (done) and APRA clearance (outstanding). Looks clean</p></li><li><p><strong><a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20260623/pdf/070xd08n6sgzqg.pdf">The Scheme Booklet is now out</a></strong>, with a Scheme Meeting on the 27th July, and expected implementation on the 20th August 2026. The IE (Grant Thornton) says &#8220;<em>fair &amp; reasonable</em>&#8220;.</p></li></ul><p><em><strong>ClearView Wealth (CVW AU) is illiquid. Look away if this is not your bag.</strong></em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>The Trade:</strong></p><ul><li><p>Optically, terms appear <em>okay</em>.</p></li><li><p>Terms <em>are</em> towards the low-end of the IE&#8217;s range.</p></li><li><p>Still, &gt;50% of the register is kicking out.</p></li><li><p>At A$0.642/share as I type, this is trading tight (1.2%/8.1% gross/annualised).</p></li><li><p>Unless you can take advantage of the franking credits.</p></li></ul>
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          <a href="https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/clearview-wealth-cvw-au-27th-july">
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[ASM (ASM AU) Delays Scheme Vote As Energy Fuel Secures Conditional Pentagon Funding]]></title><description><![CDATA[Back on the 18th May 2026, Australian Strategic Materials (ASM AU)&#8216;s Scheme Booklet was dispatched, with a Scheme Meeting on the 22nd June, and expected implementation on the 7th July.]]></description><link>https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/asm-asm-au-delays-scheme-vote-as</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/asm-asm-au-delays-scheme-vote-as</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 19 Jun 2026 01:36:04 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/645f8662-d7c2-4a90-a22f-5fbac233588c_200x200.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul><li><p>Back on the 18th May 2026, <strong>Australian Strategic Materials (ASM AU)</strong>&#8216;s Scheme Booklet was dispatched, with a Scheme Meeting on the 22nd June, and expected implementation on the 7th July.</p></li><li><p>Then a wobble. On the 15th June, with <strong>Energy Fuels (UUUU US)</strong>&#8216;s share price down ~39% since making the Offer, the IE reiterated scrip terms were fair and reasonable.</p></li><li><p>Now the Scheme Meeting has been postponed to a &#8220;<em>later date to be determined</em>&#8220; to prepare supplementary disclosure, after Energy Fuels received a conditional $725mn financing commitment from the DoW.</p></li></ul><p><em><strong>ASM is not super liquid. Look away now if this is not your thing</strong></em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>The Trade:</strong></p><ul><li><p>A slightly less clean deal given timing risk.</p></li><li><p>Trading wide at 9.4% gross.</p></li><li><p>If illiquid arbs are your bag, and not already in, depending on borrow cost, look to short Energy Fuels late in its trading day; long ASM, early in its trading day.</p></li><li><p>Shares are down 2.4% today, as I type.</p></li></ul>
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          <a href="https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/asm-asm-au-delays-scheme-vote-as">
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[ OOh!Media (OML AU): Don't Chase This Three-Way Tussle]]></title><description><![CDATA[On the 29th April, oOh!Media (OML AU), Australia&#8217;s No.1 player in outdoor advertising, announced Pacific Equity Partners (PEP)&#8217;s A$1.40/share NBIO; then I Squared Capital (ISQ)&#8217;s May 11th A$1.45/share NBIO.]]></description><link>https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/oohmedia-oml-au-dont-chase-this-three</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/oohmedia-oml-au-dont-chase-this-three</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 16 Jun 2026 00:25:38 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/dcc1fa59-77e3-4404-ab6a-2338d04bf03b_299x168.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul><li><p>On the 29th April, <strong>oOh!Media (OML AU)</strong>, Australia&#8217;s No.1 player in outdoor advertising, announced Pacific Equity Partners (PEP)&#8217;s <strong>A$1.40/share</strong> NBIO; then I Squared Capital (ISQ)&#8217;s May 11th <strong>A$1.45/share</strong> NBIO.</p></li><li><p>Both indicative Offers were rejected, however suitors were afforded due diligence. After three weeks, OML <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20260615/pdf/070mg0jgrqwnpw.pdf">announced</a> PEP, ISQ <em><strong>and </strong></em>Oaktree have all pitched indicative Offers, some up to <strong>A$1.60/share</strong>.</p></li><li><p>OML has now given all parties further due diligence up to six weeks to firm an Offer. Or Offers. OML has not indicated A$1.60 is a number it will support.</p></li></ul><p><strong>The Trade:</strong></p><ul><li><p>In<a href="https://skr.ma/GBWuo"> </a><em><strong><a href="https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/oohmedia-oml-au-peps-opportunistic?r=i4l3s">OOh!Media (OML AU): PEP&#8217;s Opportunistic Tilt</a></strong></em>, I was a buyer at A$1.20/share.</p></li><li><p>At A$1.50/share as I type, I&#8217;m less pumped.</p></li><li><p>Offers are indicative. Large downside if this breaks.</p></li><li><p>If not in, I&#8217;d probably hold off until some pullback, if any.</p></li></ul><p><em><strong>This insight is labelled bullish as I&#8217;m still not bearish here.</strong></em></p>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Accent Group (AX1 AU): Frasers' On-Market Offer Is Less Opportunistic Than At First Glance]]></title><description><![CDATA[Frasers Group (FRAS LN), footwear/clothing play Accent Group (AX1 AU)&#8216;s largest shareholder (22.9%), has launched an on-market Offer at A$0.65/share, a zero premium to last close.]]></description><link>https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/accent-group-ax1-au-frasers-on-market</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/accent-group-ax1-au-frasers-on-market</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 15 Jun 2026 02:17:53 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Hoz2!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F245223a2-0a06-4bd9-8001-ef9748142630_832x609.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul><li><p><strong>Frasers Group (FRAS LN)</strong>, footwear/clothing play <strong>Accent Group (AX1 AU)</strong>&#8216;s largest shareholder (22.9%), has launched an on-market Offer at A$0.65/share, a zero premium to last close.</p></li><li><p>Frasers has been on the scene since August 2024, when it acquired a 14.65% stake; then inked a 25-year strategic partnership in April 2025. And bumped its holding to 19.9%.</p></li><li><p>Optically, $0.65/share appears a steal. Accent is down 73% from its December 2024 high. Yet Frasers raises legitimate concerns on, inter alia, Accent&#8217;s capital allocation priorities and the board&#8217;s remuneration.</p></li></ul><p><strong>The Trade</strong>:</p><ul><li><p>This is effectively a hostile Offer.</p></li><li><p>Frasers concerns with management, and their ability to execute initiatives, appears well founded. As is the question mark over management carrying out their fiduciary duty.</p></li><li><p>Trading 9.2% through terms.</p></li><li><p>Frasers needs to bump.</p></li><li><p>Get some exposure here. But I wouldn&#8217;t aggressively chase it.</p></li></ul>
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   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Steadfast (SDF AU): Amwins' (Possibly Opportunistic) A$6/Share NBIO]]></title><description><![CDATA[As discussed in Steadfast (SDF AU): Suitors Circle As Share Price Languishes After Internal Complaint, insurance play Steadfast (SDF AU) was reportedly attracting PE interest, such as Blackstone.]]></description><link>https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/steadfast-sdf-au-amwins-possibly</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/steadfast-sdf-au-amwins-possibly</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Quiddity Research]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 10 Jun 2026 07:10:12 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/6ad487c2-034f-487a-9b68-db0b618f34c9_201x250.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<ul><li><p>As discussed in <em><strong><a href="https://oz.quiddityresearch.co/p/steadfast-sdf-au-suitors-circle-as?r=i4l3s">Steadfast (SDF AU): Suitors Circle As Share Price Languishes After Internal Complaint</a></strong></em>, insurance play <strong>Steadfast (SDF AU)</strong> was reportedly attracting PE interest, such as Blackstone.</p></li><li><p>Steadfast has now entered into a process deal with Amwins and Dragoneer at A$6/share by way of a Scheme, a 51.9% premium to undisturbed.</p></li><li><p>Amwins/Dragoneer have been provided with eight weeks of exclusive due diligence access. A firm Offer will requires FIRB and OIO signing off.</p></li></ul><p><strong>The Trade</strong>:</p><ul><li><p>Indicative terms appear attractive; but on par with late-Oct 2025 levels when a workplace complaint emerged against the CEO.</p></li><li><p>Terms are not firm.</p></li><li><p>I would not chase this aggressively. Perhaps $5.30-ish, tops.</p></li></ul>
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